The Logic Lifeline

A logical approach to sorting out world events. Where logic, opinion and speculation are combined to produce a reasoned, but entertaining reading experience. The unofficial hometown conservative blog of Woodridge, Il

Tuesday, August 22, 2006

Liberalism - Now or Never?

There is a fascinating editorial in the Wall Street Journal by Arthur C. Brooks called The Fertility Gap. The basic thrust of the piece is that conservatives have significantly more children than liberals. Here is the breakdown:
But the data on young Americans tell a different story. Simply put, liberals have a big baby problem: They're not having enough of them, they haven't for a long time, and their pool of potential new voters is suffering as a result. According to the 2004 General Social Survey, if you picked 100 unrelated politically liberal adults at random, you would find that they had, between them, 147 children. If you picked 100 conservatives, you would find 208 kids. That's a "fertility gap" of 41%.
While the liberal education establishment (elementary, secondary and college-level) works feverishly to brainwash our youth toward the progressive path, according to Brooks:
Given that about 80% of people with an identifiable party preference grow up to vote the same way as their parents, this gap translates into lots more little Republicans than little Democrats to vote in future elections. Over the past 30 years this gap has not been below 20%--explaining, to a large extent, the current ineffectiveness of liberal youth voter campaigns today.
Brooks goes on to lay out the Democrats worse nightmare by showing in vivid detail that the trend is GROWING:
Consider future presidential elections in a swing state (like Ohio), and assume that the current patterns in fertility continue. A state that was split 50-50 between left and right in 2004 will tilt right by 2012, 54% to 46%. By 2020, it will be certifiably right-wing, 59% to 41%. A state that is currently 55-45 in favor of liberals (like California) will be 54-46 in favor of conservatives by 2020--and all for no other reason than babies.
So conservatives having more kids than liberals, and that the vast majority will become conservative adults is both promising and enlightening. I would assume that these facts come as no surprise to most Democrat strategists. This would explain some strange behavior surrounding the near term elections of '06 and '08 that goes beyond Bush Derangement Syndrome.

The broken grip of liberals on the media bolstered by Talk Radio and the Internet must truly strike fear into the Democrats. Their only hope of countering these expressions of free speech is to legislate an environment where they will decline in influence. This becomes less likely if voting trends favor conservatives. In order to be in a position to create an environment that offsets the Fertility Gap, Democrats must regain power NOW. They must regain the House and at least attempt an impeachment against Bush. They must get the Fairness Doctrine reinstated to replace the current market driven basis for radio programming decisions. They must get back control of redistricting so they can do what they have accused the GOP of doing (and worse). They must at all costs resist the trend of requiring voters to have a photo ID, and resist any kind of absentee ballot reform. They must above all get back the Presidency in '08 so they can get more liberal justices appointed that will continue their intrusion on the separation of powers.

The Fertility Gap is also a driving force in the liberal prevention of any meaningful immigration reform. (It does not explain why the GOP is also reluctant to enforce the borders). Illegal immigration and the subsequent free giveaways (from your checkbook and mine) are critical in the liberal plan to offset the Fertility Gap. It will help in the short term, and that may be all they need. The ultimate goal is to relinquish our sovereignty to the United Nations and submit to both the Kyoto Protocol and a global income tax. Once that is accomplished it will be too late. They will be pushing hard now and in '08 to position themselves to meet their goals. The must mitigate the Fertility Gap before '12 or it will likely be too late. It is truly NOW or NEVER.

25 Comments:

  • At 3:50 PM, Blogger THE RIGHT WING AGENDA said…

    New method makes embryo-safe stem cells

    http://news.yahoo.com/s/ap/20060823/ap_on_sc/stem_cells


    So what new and ingenius DUMBA$$ Wedge issue will Der Shrubben Fuhrer come up with now to take the DimWits of Red State Americas Simple minds off his Myriad of FU's???

    Iraq is in Civil War, The wetbacks are pouring across the border, the average Joe can't make it in Bush's Tax Cut world, the country is in Massive debt....etc...

    I Know how about an Amendment to BAn Hurricanes from hitting the Gulf Coast when Bush is on another 5 week VACAY...HECKUVA IDEA BROWNIE!!!

    8-BALL...over and out!!!

     
  • At 5:30 PM, Blogger Mark said…

    The ultimate goal is to relinquish our sovereignty to the United Nations and submit to both the Kyoto Protocol and a global income tax.


    Really? This is a scare tactic right? I wanna see some documentation....

     
  • At 6:04 PM, Blogger All_I_Can_Stands said…

    Mark,

    It is not a scare tactic. I believe it to be reality based on my observations of the UN and the liberals who enthusiastically support it no matter how often it fails to accomplish anything.

    - I don't think you need proof on the KYOTO.

    - Clinton was the first to yield a point of sovereignty when he had our soldiers fighting under UN commanders from other countries. Liberals also are quick to talk about international laws. Aside from treaties, we should stay away from the UN having any ability to create international law. There is also the international court. We should be very careful in recognizing that court's right to interfere with any country's sovereignty. There is also the demand by the UN for the US to relinquish control of the Internet Domain oversight. I think I posted on it last year.

    - As for the global tax, the UN proposed this a few years back and it was shot down. I would have to search for a link, but I recall it vividly.

    If the far left were in power, these things would be a done deal. Any move to the left of where we are now makes these dark items more likely.

     
  • At 6:36 PM, Blogger All_I_Can_Stands said…

    Mark,

    Here is some direction on the global tax. Just do a Google search on the following:

    global income tax "united nations"

    The results may scare, but it is not a scare tactic. It is reality.

     
  • At 6:53 PM, Blogger Joe Smoe: American Citizen said…

    All_I_Can_Stands said...
    Mark,

    Here is some direction on the global tax. Just do a Google search on the following:

    global income tax "united nations"

    The results may scare, but it is not a scare tactic. It is reality.

    6:36 PM

    What does it matter as under Bush and the GOP Corporation and foreign governments pretty much write their own treaties as they see fit without ANY government oversite?

    As well as Bush only asks the UN for help now as his Unilateralist approach to things is a FAILURE...like so many other policies.

    The Rights Hyperbole and Geussing is nothing more than a scare tactic to keep power as they have failed at everything else.

     
  • At 9:31 PM, Blogger Mark said…

    Ok, they tried and it was shot down. I have a feeling though that even if the democrats and win the house and the presidency and control everything there will be enough lobby and pressure from all sorts of sides to not allow a Kyoto type obedience nor yielding to a world governing body. Americans are too independent, I hope. And if it does somehow come to pass, I'll be setting up a little haven out here in the Black Rock Desert. All are welcome, as long as they leave their baggage at the gate...

     
  • At 9:32 PM, Blogger Mark said…

    This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.

     
  • At 11:19 AM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Oh no it's the big bad boogie man hiding under our beds! Liberals! BOO! in big scary bold letters coming to sell the US to the UN and brainwash your children with literature and global awareness! Eek!

    It's true that "conservatives" are happy to breed like rabbits and then support such family-values ideologies as fighting against increases in the minimum wage, government intrusion into private medical decisions, and demonizing single moms and homosexuals. A lot of liberals get stuck in the zero population growth mentality and thus they don't have kids since as Americans they feel somehow responsible for addressing the fact that while America is less than 5% of the world's population we consume 25% of its resources. But calling it a fertility gap is inaccurate. They're not physically damaged and incapable of having kids, they're just choosing not too. What a scary idea!

    Besides, unless we're narcissists that need the ego boost of having little mini-me's running around, we instill the values of critical thinking and individuality in our children. We all hope that our children will grow up to think for themselves in the context of the realities of their own lives and time and not just parrot our belief systems, right?

     
  • At 12:48 PM, Blogger All_I_Can_Stands said…

    But calling it a fertility gap is inaccurate. They're not physically damaged and incapable of having kids, they're just choosing not too.

    You'll have to take up the name with Arthur Brooks.

    As for liberals choosing to not reproduce as much: I am not critical of it at all. Keep up the good work.

    We all hope that our children will grow up to think for themselves in the context of the realities of their own lives and time and not just parrot our belief systems, right?

    Boy you are on a roll for missing obvious points today. (assuming all the anonymous posts are the same person). The 80% was not limited to conservatives. From what Brooks wrote, 80% of liberal's kids grow up to be liberal too.

    You are correct, we should want our kids to avoid simply parroting our belief systems. If my belief system were not important I would not have selected it, so I hope my kids share it. However, while teaching them I do go to great pains to instruct them on knowing why they believe the way they do.

     
  • At 1:51 PM, Blogger THE RIGHT WING AGENDA said…

    If my belief system were not important I would not have selected it, so I hope my kids share it. However, while teaching them I do go to great pains to instruct them on knowing why they believe the way they do.

    12:48 PM

    They believe the way they do because the Propaganda ARM of the DER SHRUBBEN FUHRER's regime ie FAUX NEWS declares it and Daddy complies and believes.

    The Recruiter is waiting for your offspring to show and give the final measure to Bush's New World Reich.

    Also, Anon I do believe you are asking for far too much intellectual involvement and INDEPENDENT thought from this GOP rabble.

    8-BALL ...OVER AND OUT!!

    THANK YOU MR. PRESIDENT...THANK YOU FOR DESTABILIZING THE MIDEAST...ONCE AGAIN THANK YOU!

     
  • At 2:23 PM, Blogger All_I_Can_Stands said…

    They believe the way they do because the Propaganda ARM of the DER SHRUBBEN FUHRER's regime ie FAUX NEWS declares it and Daddy complies and believes.

    Amazing that my belief system was well intact before Bush, Fox News or even Talk Radio, yet I am accused by a part of the 8-ball rabble that I am the product of propaganda by them. Time-machine logic doesn't quite fly here.

     
  • At 4:38 PM, Blogger THE RIGHT WING AGENDA said…

    Time-machine logic doesn't quite fly here.

    2:23 PM

    BUSH:YOUR EITHER WITH US OR AGAINST US!

    NIXON (circa Vietnam era): AMERICA, LOVE IT OR LEAVE. (subtext-YOUR EITHER WITH US OR AGAINST US)

    Both were Lying and Evil members of the GOP...

    MORAL: History ALWAYS repeats itself.

     
  • At 5:05 PM, Blogger All_I_Can_Stands said…

    Bush was wrong. He should have said:

    We have been attacked by terrorists for years now. When we do not strike back, they continue. It is obvious that we must root them out or it will continue. Your options are:

    1) You are with us
    2) You are against us
    3) You are against us, but you don't want to be labeled as such
    4) You are mindless and have no opinion whatsoever. This is America, you are free to be a mindless idiot.
    5) You are with us, but you think if only we are a little nicer or talk to them just a little more they will stop. (it must be our fault that they are attacking us since they can't be evil)

    THANK YOU. THANK YOU FOR THE LOW HANGING CURVE-BALL, 8-BALL

     
  • At 6:06 PM, Blogger THE RIGHT WING AGENDA said…

    OR you forgot the following that Bush and the GOP subscribe to:

    6: Start a war with a country that had nothing to do with 911 and claim it did ie Iraq. Start a war with a country that had no WMDs and claim it did ie Iraq. Send the least amount of troops into said country so that it does become "A BREEDING GROUND FOR TERRORISTS". Push a foreign policy that destabilizes the Mid east. Leave Americas borders undefended and allow millions of wetback Illegals and Terrorists to flow across it. Over extend the military so that when a real threat occurs all you do is talk ie Iran and you have to backdoor draft Marines that have already served in your Iraqi Mistake. And of course if you are a Dense GOP/BUSH AUTO-MORON spout the party line and call into question the intelligence and patriotism of anyone that sees the FAILURES for what they are..while you remain blind and too gutless to serve yourself.

    A Strike to Spinachhead for the standard GOP avoid and excuse defense.

    8-BALL ..over and out

     
  • At 6:26 PM, Blogger All_I_Can_Stands said…

    8-ball,

    One day at least one of your comments will actually be a response to what I say.

    A strike to 8-ball for not being able to stay on topic to save his life.

     
  • At 6:46 PM, Blogger THE RIGHT WING AGENDA said…

    I can back ALL my posts with facts can you?


    8-BALL ...OVER AND OUT!!

    THANK YOU MR. PRESIDENT...THANK YOU FOR DIVIDING THE COUNTRY AND RALLYING THE INBREEDS AND SIMPLEMINDED....ONCE AGAIN THANK YOU!

     
  • At 6:59 PM, Blogger All_I_Can_Stands said…

    I can back ALL my posts with facts can you?

    It would be a refreshing change if you decided to start doing that. Just remember that you simply believing something does not qualify it for a fact.

    Let the facts begin. I will be waiting patiently.

     
  • At 11:06 PM, Anonymous Hammer said…

    8 ball

    You could headline a daily political comedy show. The facts would probably continue to be "a little fuzzy" but you are a great entertainer...

     
  • At 5:04 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Everybody knows that facts are not respected here, so asking 8 ball to deliver them is just a diversion.

    Just remember that you simply believing something does not qualify it for a fact.-AICS

    Amen. It'd be refreshing if you practiced what you preach.

     
  • At 7:46 PM, Blogger All_I_Can_Stands said…

    Just remember that you simply believing something does not qualify it for a fact.-AICS

    Amen. It'd be refreshing if you practiced what you preach.


    Anonymous, you are really getting desperate here to criticize. I always represent my opinions as opinions. 8-ball was the one who claimed he could back up all of his comments with facts. That is more than I claim. I make every attempt to back up what I say with references. Most of what I state is based on what is written elsewhere. To say that somebody wrote something, then provide the quote is a factual approach. It is a fact such and so person said such and so. What the person said may not be factual, though.

    And I see you still have not found the courage to label your comments with an identifier.

     
  • At 11:31 AM, Anonymous patriot said…

    I always represent my opinions as opinions. 8-ball was the one who claimed he could back up all of his comments with facts. That is more than I claim. I make every attempt to back up what I say with references. Most of what I state is based on what is written elsewhere. To say that somebody wrote something, then provide the quote is a factual approach. It is a fact such and so person said such and so. What the person said may not be factual, though. -AICS

    I always represent my opinions as opinions? You've put yourself on a slippery slope and covered yourself with oil on top of it. I am called desperate and lacking courage yet this statement of yours does everything in its power to keep you unaccountable, able to slip and slide in whatever direction suits the situation.

    Case in point. Your original post emphatically states "The ultimate goal is to relinquish our sovereignty to the United Nations and submit to both the Kyoto Protocol and a global income tax. " One can reasonably argue that this is stated as fact. Mark apparently thought so and when he asked for documentation you replied "I believe it to be reality based on my observations." I simply called you out for then having tried to knock someone down with this: "Just remember that you simply believing something does not qualify it for a fact."

    You will undoubtedly not want to see how you squirm around and ultimately try not to be held responsible for your stated 'facts". Or are they "opinions?" It's very hard to tell.

    Which brings us to another "fact" that remains uncorrected. Your post about people in CT trying to procedurally remove Lieberman from the ballot is factually incorrect. They were requesting that since Lieberman left the Democratic Party to run under a different party's banner, that he be removed from the Democratic Party rolls. CT state law allows for expulsion from the party if the member runs for office under another political banner. I wonder if you will have the courage to publicly correct it in bold headlines like you originally bloviated in "Anti-war crowd attempts to thwart democracy"

     
  • At 12:23 PM, Blogger All_I_Can_Stands said…

    Patriot,

    What is laughable is how hard you squirm around trying to nail me on something, anything. It is truly entertaining and an unintended compliment to my work at how hard you must try to meet your goal.

    First on opinions and facts. Almost everything we write here is opinion either by you or me. Unless somebody is completely blind or willfully stupid, they must admit that I add a lot of references to the items I write. Most of what I do here is comment on news items using the words within the story to launch from to give my opinions. Almost every post has several links and actual quotes. To demand I add a list of links and facts for every line I write (that you seem to imply) is ludicrous and very easy for one who does not have a blog where posts and comments must be defended daily.

    I simply called you out for then having tried to knock someone down with this: "Just remember that you simply believing something does not qualify it for a fact."

    Called me out?!? I never denied making the statement. Nor did I ever state or imply that simply because I believe it makes it true.

    As for the Lieberman claim and correction. You are correct that the exact group noted was not the one filing for him to be removed from the ballot. The wording of the Washington Post story gave the impression as they combined the two stories into one article. As the two entities are attacking Lieberman at the same time in two different areas, I am not yet convinced this is not a "you hit him high, I'll hit him low" scenario. When I am convinced of that I will make a correction. However, I do admit I misread the story in the same manner you have misread many of my posts/comments.

     
  • At 1:42 PM, Anonymous patriot said…

    What two stories are you referring to as regards the Lieberman post? I've not seen (and you did not provide any citations) for this supposed other article about people trying to procedurally get him off the ballot.

     
  • At 1:50 PM, Blogger All_I_Can_Stands said…

    Here is the WashPost link:

    http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/08/21/AR2006082101427.html

    You can see from the title why I thought it said what I said. And none other than our old pal Associated Press as the ultimate source. AP gets me into more trouble.

     
  • At 10:46 AM, Anonymous patriot said…

    So reading headlines is only as far as you go to research when deciding to devote an entire inflammatory post to a particular premise? You didn't even bother to read the story. Incredible. Your whole post and rant was that an "anti-war group is attempting to thwart democracy" by trying to get Lieberman thrown off the ballot.

    But the real story is that it was one lone man - a obviously bitter former political opponent - whose filing to pull Lieberman from the ballot was tagged ONLY in the LAST TWO SENTENCES of the article.

    I don't know how you missed the concept that headlines are ALWAYS sensationalized and most often misleading. "If it bleeds, it leads" is the oft-quoted motto. Did you just start reading newspapers and watching TV and listening to the radio yesterday?

    There's no doubt that the media is irresponsible (and you dig at them often for that) but making Associated Press your whipping boy because you couldn't be bothered to read the article is BS.

     

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