The Logic Lifeline

A logical approach to sorting out world events. Where logic, opinion and speculation are combined to produce a reasoned, but entertaining reading experience. The unofficial hometown conservative blog of Woodridge, Il

Monday, January 23, 2006

Rassmussen has interesting polling today

Rassmussen Reports are chock full of interesting polling data. First, it is showing that President Bush's approval numbers have decided to camp out at 45% for the last 4 days and average close to that for the last 2 weeks. Since it has stabilized and is not dropping, Bush is in a great position. I have put forth a theory on how transient surges in the polls are. There are two significant factors to consider: 1) the natural state of man is not contentedness. 2) You can only keep people continuously happy by appealing to elements they like while actually doing nothing. So you can't stay popular by resting on your laurels and once you start doing something, some will like it while others don't. My "slingshot" prediction may not be coming to pass exactly as I stated, but Bush is definitely saving his big push for just the right moment. These numbers allow him not to start too soon. If they stay at this level the best moment for maximum effect would be mid-May. If there are any strategists on the Dem's side, they will force him to start mid-March. Either way Bush is in good position.

There is an interesting polling section on the Abramoff scandal. Sometimes the American People can really pierce through the bologna from the media and see things as they really are. Here are a few questions and polling data:

Who is more ethical, a used car salesman or members of Congress? The Used Car Salesman blows away Congress 40% to 27%.
(Of course 33% are scratching their heads and asking for a hint)

Were Abramoff's attempts to influence congress typical of what lobbyists do? Yes: 47% No: 15% "Can you repeat the question" 38%

A solid 52% see that the Abramoff scandal involved members of both parties. Only 23% answered in a partisan way.

Here is my favorite: If Democrats gain control of congress will there be more, less or the same corruption? More: 24%, Less: 31%, Same: 39% (only 6% still in a fog)

If you are a liberal and frustrated by those statistics, you only have yourselves to blame. For the last 5 years your opposition has been on the same setting for every single issue: loud, this is the worst thing that has happened to the US in it's entire history and it is always Bush's fault. You are now shocked that people are quite immune to your "sky is falling" and "wolf" cries.


  • At 8:13 PM, Blogger LASunsett said…

    The Dems have got to learn at some point in time that George Bush is not going to be running for anything again. If they continue to run a referendum on Bush year after year, they are going to continue to lose, year after year.

    They can't say that we didn't warn them.

  • At 11:38 AM, Blogger All_I_Can_Stands said…

    I wish I was a PhotoShop expert. I would have taken a few faces and pasted them on "used car salesman" dressed bodies.

    I have to admit I have been burned far more times by Congress than by a used car salesman.

  • At 3:06 PM, Blogger LASunsett said…

    One usually sees the used car salesman coming.

  • At 6:58 PM, Anonymous Anonymous said…

    Rassmussen's obvious Republican leanings and piss-poor research procedures aside, it's damn entertaining to watch you people get all excited about a Bush 45% approval rating. Even padding the numbers you folks are still struggling to get to half of the American public thinking Bush is anything but a bad nightmare gone horribly wrong. Yeah, Bush is in a really great position. Keen observation.

  • At 7:30 PM, Blogger All_I_Can_Stands said…

    "Rassmussen's obvious Republican leanings and piss-poor research procedures aside"

    Not obvious to me. It is my understanding Scott personally leans left. Please elaborate on his poor procedures. It is not Rasmussen who is always polling way more Dems than GOP like many of the others do. Maybe you don't like it that his questions are not phrased to lead to a predetermined outcome. I can see why a liberal would not like that.

    As for the actual numbers, since I think you are new here I have stated often that polls are pretty meaningless to me. I discuss them for the entertainment value.

    A Bush approval poll is fairly meaningless at this point. He is not running for re-election. The numbers do not reflect how one would vote if Bush and another candidate were in office. As for approval, there are several things about Bush I don't approve of such as his Immigration / Border policies. So to ask me if I approve or disapprove is too direct. I can disapprove of a few things, yet I would vote for him again if he were running. That is another strength of the Rasmussen poll that I often don't see in others. He breaks down the Strongly Approve, Somewhat Approve, Somewhat Disapprove, Strongly Disapprove. I think that gives a more accurate picture of what people are thinking. Of course since the outcome is not what you like, you would consider it a poor procedure.

    As for getting excited about 45%, I only get excited on election nights. Any other time is a waste of energy as public opinion can change hourly. Also, I would bet the 45% would concern you more than it does me.

  • At 9:08 AM, Blogger All_I_Can_Stands said…

    Also, Clinton seemed awfully excited about 46% the night he was elected in 1992. Not too far away from 45%.

    Of course you will claim there was a third party candidate. Yes, and 2008 is going to be ripe for another significant 3rd party candidate. Dems are dividing between the classic Dem and the kooks. The kooks are digging in and will not vote for a non-kook and the classics will never vote for a kook.

    It is going to be fun.


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