The Logic Lifeline

A logical approach to sorting out world events. Where logic, opinion and speculation are combined to produce a reasoned, but entertaining reading experience. The unofficial hometown conservative blog of Woodridge, Il

Saturday, May 12, 2007

Presidential 2008 Election May12, 2007 Snapshot

While I have resisted talking about next year's election, everyone else is leaving me behind. So I plan to post a snapshot every month on how I view the election at the time. I will first cover myself by stating clearly these are too early to be considered "predictions". In my job we are forced to provide initial estimates before we complete the detailed designs. This is so senior management can have a peek into what we are doing and what we think it will cost now. We are told that we can change it after design and that they won't hold our initial estimates against us. Right. So I add caveats and risks and throw the Hail Mary. So consider these snapshots a Hail Mary.

While there are candidates and possible candidates that I may like better than the viable ones, it just makes no sense to waste much time on them. I think their presence is important to influence the debate. If I wanted to discuss the unviable possible candidate I would want to win most, I would be talking about myself.

One problem is that as time goes by things are uncovered about the candidates that may make them less appealing. I was tempted to jump on the Fred Thompson bandwagon, but sadly I think he has peaked. His delay in jumping in seems to have had a cooling effect. We'll see if he can renew it.

Rudy Giuliani also seems to have peaked and is a sinking star. His latest tactic seems to be to be forthcoming about his views on abortion. The fact that he was not forthcoming until now bothers me as much as his stance on the issue. He has done some good things for the GOP, but I think he has too many skeletons in his closet. You can't be mayor of a city like New York and not have skeletons. An October surprise would not be a surprise in his case. For that reason he is even too risky for VP.

The star of John McCain seems to be rising a bit. He has stepped up his conservative rhetoric and some are buying it. I thank McCain for his service and respect his suffering in Vietnam. He has tried to get along with the opposition, but in a naive way thinking they also want what is best for the country more than power. If McCain were to become the nominee or even president I would not fret, but he would not be my first choice and I would be waiting for the frequent opportunities to blog about his bent to dart to the left from time to time.

My current first selection resides with Mitt Romney. Romney's Mormon background may cause some to reject him, I think that most of such bigotry resides on the Left as Al Sharpton displayed this week. Romney has several very strong points: his appearance is impressive, his communication is effective and articulated, his tremendously successful business background makes him the best choice for government financial reform. Financial reform can and must be the highest priority in the upcoming election. Bush firmly deserves the criticism he has received for the runaway deficit. However, the Dems have clearly shown they have no intention of fixing the problem - but making it worse. In spite of ill will against the GOP, the Dems will confirm by next year what they are now showing now - that they have nothing to offer. Romney can ride fiscal reform to the White House like no other candidate on either side.

His past views on abortion do not trouble me. Even if he truly is what some fear, I think that he would do nothing worse in this area. I do not see this country ever outlawing abortion. There may be a reversal of Roe vs. Wade, but most if not all states already have laws legalizing abortion even if it flips. At most there may be a town here and there that do not allow it and residents there will have to take a longer drive to kill their child. Victory over abortion will come in reducing the number of those who choose it and by a reduction in those who perform it. Both the US and the UK are having trouble keeping enough doctors willing to go into this "glamorous" field.

So as of today's snapshot, Mitt Romney is on top. The primaries are only just over half a year away. Romney's star is rising. Even if the Mormon bigotry is ugly, it gives Romney more national attention. We can all hope for the day when a president BOTH has good political positions AND can also articulate them well. If Romney wins he will have the same effectiveness in communication as Ronald Reagan. He also will have what Reagan did not have - the new media. If Reagan had enjoyed the benefits of Fox News, Conservative Talk Radio and the Internet "higher beings" of Hugh Hewitt, Michelle Malkin, Captain Ed Morrissey, Neal Boortz, Glenn Reynolds and the Powerline 3; he would have been even better. Imagine it.

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  • At 12:55 PM, Blogger SkyePuppy said…

    If I wanted to discuss the unviable possible candidate I would want to win most, I would be talking about myself.

    Don't sell yourself short. You have every bit as much chance of winning the election as Dennis Kucinich does. Or Ron Paul. :o)

    ...most if not all states already have laws legalizing abortion even if it flips.

    In early 2001, right after Bush won the election, the Democrat-dominated California legislature panicked at the thought that Bush might overturn Roe v. Wade. So they rushed a bill through guaranteeing Californians the right to an abortion anytime for any reason. And then-governor Gray Davis signed it.

    Unborn babies are safer in California now than they will be if the Supreme Court decision is overturned.

  • At 7:29 PM, Blogger Incognito said…

    Paul, Gravel or Kucinich.;-) What a bunch of nuts, to be polite. But you'd be surprised the amount of people who actually believe these men are the best option.

    I think abortion is the least of our problems, and would hope people don't vote against a candidate because of his current or past views. There are far more pressing issues to consider, in my mind.

    Not sure what Thompson is waiting for, and I think you might be right. Romney is a very good possibility, if people can just get past the fact he's a Mormon. Which should have no bearing on his potential, unless he was a bigamist.
    Should be interesting.

  • At 9:32 PM, Blogger All_I_Can_Stands said…

    With the abortion issue I don't think we will resolve it in our lifetime so I understand what you are saying. I think it can be a telltale sign, though, for what kind of judges will be nominated: those that will interpret the law or those who will stretch the law to create agenda based rulings.

  • At 6:46 AM, Blogger LASunsett said…

    Honestly AICS, I cannot get the least bit excited about any of these guys. I do not think any of them have what it takes to lead this nation, in this contentious and dangerous age.

  • At 7:06 AM, Blogger All_I_Can_Stands said…


    I hear you :(

  • At 9:09 AM, Blogger Malott said…

    Giuliani perplexes me. Better than all the other candidates - he explains the danger we face from terrorism... And the damage that will result from of putting a Dem in the White House.

    But he can't seem to adequately verbalize his stand on abortion.

    When Chris Matthews asked him if overturning Roe would be a good thing...

    If I were coaching he would have answered...

    "Overturning Roe would send the issue to the state legislatures and most states would remain pro-choice. The important thing is to nominate 'strict constructionists' to the court so that the nation's top court will only interpret the law... Not write the law... Not rewrite the Constitution to reflect their own personal preferences."

    Most Conservatives would understand that - and approve.

  • At 8:43 PM, Blogger Incognito said…

    I missed the debate last night, did you see it? and any change in the opinion?

  • At 9:22 AM, Blogger All_I_Can_Stands said…


    I did not get to watch the debate. I did read some of the transcripts. From what I read it does not change my snapshot much.

  • At 12:21 AM, Blogger Incognito said…

    I guess time will tell!

  • At 2:32 PM, Blogger Malott said…

    Come back Shane!

  • At 10:12 PM, Blogger Incognito said…

    You hibernating AICS?

  • At 7:19 AM, Blogger All_I_Can_Stands said…


    Yeah, I have been crazy busy. I don't see a light at the end of the tunnel for at least a week.

  • At 8:35 AM, Blogger LASunsett said…

    //Yeah, I have been crazy busy. I don't see a light at the end of the tunnel for at least a week.//

    Quit half-stepping and get to work so you can irritate the left. We can't do it alone. (nyuk, nyuk, nyuk)



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